Mental impact wealth polarisation and much besides But just as Malthus couldn t see how the world could sustain people back in the 1800s the same blinkered thinking threatens to condemn efforts to lift millions of people out of poverty and to abandon them to their fate Pearce s view is that the demographic timebomb may yet be defused by falling birthrates ageing populations and the changing role of women around the world This book is all about demographics What happens as people have fewer children live longer move David Foot author of Boom Bust and Echo argued that two thirds of everything can be explained by demographics and that s what Pearce sets out to prove in The Coming Population Crash Pearce starts with a review of demographic thinking starting with the 18th century scholar Malthus and working his way forward Pearce is at his strongest I think when he describes how generations of political scientists economists and demographers took Malthus to heart and unwittingly engineered Malthusian crises which they described as inevitable One poignant example was the Irish famine wherein rich British landowners exported food from the island while their Irish tenants starved all while arguing that the problem was Irish fertility A similar rhetoric is happening even now in Ken. Ears agoIn The Coming Population Crash veteran environmental writer Fred Pearce reveals the dynamics behind this dramatic shift Charting the demographic path of our species over two hundred years he begins by chronicling the troubling history of authoritarian efforts to contain the twentieth century's population explosion as well as the worldwide trend toward the empowerment of women that led to lower birthrates And then with vivid reporting from around the globe he dives into the environmental social and economic effects of our surprising demographic futureNow is probably the last time in history that our world will hold young people than elders Most fear that an aging world population will put a serious drain on national resources as a shrinking working population supports a growing number of retirees But is this necessarily.
Ya Malthus influenced directly or indirectly eugenics movements and xenophobic thinking that continue todayI was also impressed with Pearce s analysis of today s world Travelling from Italy to Bangladesh to San Paolo Pearce paints a picture of the world as it is and describes how we got here All over the globe with few exceptions women are having fewer children Peace points out some of the political ramifications from the little emperors in China to the abandonment of cities in East Germany to the bulging slums in megalopolises around the world Where I thought Pearce was weakest was in his final chapters the ones where he gets to the crux of his subtitle Our Planet s Surprising Future Pearce envisions an aging world but one in which the elderly are active in political and social affairs important in taking care of their families and present in the workplace I think given the amount of times Pearce described previous demographic trends the rapid decrease in fertility for example as completely unexpected he should be the first to admit that a similar unexpected trend could creep up on us There s just no way to predict what the planet s going to be like in 2050 let alone 2100That said I thought this was a well researched well argued book Certainly it provides food for thought. So Might an older world population have an upside Pearce also shows us why our demographic future holds increased migration rates and reveals the hypocrisy at the heart of anti immigrant rhetoric in the developed world the simple fact is that countries with lower birthrates need workers and countries with higher birthrates need work And he tackles the truism that population density always leads to environmental degradation taking us from some of the world's most densely packed urban slums to rural Africa to argue that underpopulation can sometimes be the cause of environmental woes while cities could hold the ey to sustainable livingPearce's provocative book is essential reading for anyone who wants to now what demographics tell us about our global future and for all those who believe in learning from the mistakes of the past.
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Pretty good pretty optimistic I noticed it is now a little out of date the reason we call urban myth or one looks at how a history event was passed down extra sensationalism were often added so the history changes as time goes byone such myth is population explosion started by Malthusthen it does not stopAuthor has been using a lot of data in many countries to prove that not only population does not grow rather as we often talks about population is in severe decline Japan India Sri Lanka EU zonesdespite the fact that population growth has been controlled via political and cultural meansthis book is a wake up call to all of us as modern observer to realize what is wrong with the headline population growth in severe decline vs old urban myth people have no food to eat due to war and severe mis allocation of food supply nothing to do with how many people on this planet Fred Pearce s optimistic outlook is the perfect antidote to the relentless Malthusian world view of immiment plague pestilence and famine There really are reasons to be cheerful if challenges are addressed and not left to become self fulfilling prophesies of the doomsayers The book doesn t fight shy of the massive issues that need to be confronted feticide eugenics euthansia mass migration immigration environ. Demography is destiny It underlies many of the issues that shake the world from war and economics to immigration No wonder then that fears of overpopulation flared regularly over the last century a century that saw the world's population uadruple Even today baby booms are blamed for genocide and terrorism and overpopulation is regularly cited as the primary factor driving global warming and other environmental issuesYet surprisingly it appears that the explosion is past its peak Around the world in developing countries as well as in rich ones today's women are having on average 26 children half the number their mothers had Within a generation world fertility will likely follow Europe's to below replacement levels and by 2040 the world's population will be declining for the first time since the Black Death almost seven hundred
CHARACTERS à CAFE1919.ORG ↠ Fred Pearce
Fred Pearce is an English author and journalist based in London He has been described as one of Britain's finest science writers and has reported on environment popular science and development issues from 64 countries over the past 20 years He specialises in global environmental issues including water and climate change and freuently takes heretic and counter intuitive views a sceptic in